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I computed excess mortality in a straight forward approach. But I am beginning to question what seems like a straight forward approach based on the result I obtained.

I am not sure anymore if my calculation is correct and I would appreciate a second opinion with this.

Here are my calculation and the issue at hand:

baseline mortality rate  0.48[0.33,   0.72]

Observed mortality rate 0.30[0.20,  0.50]

excess mortality rate = observed mortality - baseline mortality

                                  - 0.18 [-0.13, - 0.22] **  this where my doubts set in.

I presented the result as follow -0.18 [ -0.22, -0.13] which seems obvious.

Is this approach with reserving the confidence limit correct or is there something I am missing?


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