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Estimation of New Pregnant Mother for cash transfer programme

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Nick

Normal user

11 May 2015, 02:42

is there any statically safe calculation way to get the # of new pregnant mother by month and # pregnant women on any one day in this population.

What I currently using is the following way and I do want to make sure my calculation is statically safe or not.

To get the # of pregnant women on any one day in this population (T2 - T3: 6 month gestation), I used the guideline from this link http://www.en-net.org/question/1580.aspx (provided by Mark Myatt).

For the # of New Pregnant Mother (T2 - T3: 6 months gestation) in a month; use the below calculation.

Total Population*Crude birth rate est./12 months

But, I am not very confidence on second one. So, if there any other calculator for to estimate the monthly new pregnant mothers, apart from above calculator.

Mark Myatt

Consultant Epideomiologist

Frequent user

11 May 2015, 16:47

This:

    Total Population * Birthrate

is the number of births per year. If you divided by 12 you get the number of births per month. That is, I think, not quite what you want as it will include women in T1 that carry to term. You might expect women in T2 and T3 to be:
    (2/3) * Total Population * Birthrate

You could divide this by 12 to get what you want:
    (1/12) * (2/3) * Total Population * Birthrate

Someone should check my thinking.

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